Analysts: al-Maliki at war again after being convicted of the report of Mosul
BGG Notes:
Maliki came back from Iran where he met with most of his most ardent Shia supports (not all Shias support him – as before).
The Dawa party (and Maliki) “facially supports” these recent reforms called for by the Iraqi Clerics and the demonstrators (the people)… However, it’s a political tactic. He needs to look like..
“HE’S THE REFORMER”, or at least line himself up with the reforms…
Then there’s these rants blaming Erbil and Turkey for the fall of Mosul. Maliki must think no one remembers Barzani going to the press when Maliki wouldn’t listen about ISIS on the move.
There are articles out that affirm they put the SLC at Abadi’s disposal… again a weak showing of being “on the side of reforms” – not the “focus of the reforms”…
On the other hand Maliki is secretly attempting to subvert Abadi everything he does.
BGG Notes:
Maliki came back from Iran where he met with most of his most ardent Shia supports (not all Shias support him – as before).
The Dawa party (and Maliki) “facially supports” these recent reforms called for by the Iraqi Clerics and the demonstrators (the people)… However, it’s a political tactic. He needs to look like..
“HE’S THE REFORMER”, or at least line himself up with the reforms…
Then there’s these rants blaming Erbil and Turkey for the fall of Mosul. Maliki must think no one remembers Barzani going to the press when Maliki wouldn’t listen about ISIS on the move.
There are articles out that affirm they put the SLC at Abadi’s disposal… again a weak showing of being “on the side of reforms” – not the “focus of the reforms”…
On the other hand Maliki is secretly attempting to subvert Abadi everything he does.
It is worth noting – there are numerous OP ED’s out recently pointing out that if Maliki really wanted reforms he would have done so long ago.
Maliki is in now in FULL DAMAGE control…
The Friday before the Mosul Report was coming out – he went to Iran to gather support.
This move seems to have (temporarily) worked. This caught me a little off-guard. I didn’t think he had that kind of support from Iran once they pulled their support from his bid for a 3rd term.
He did not come back until he had some assurance of some kind – though no guarantee, he must feel he has some potential for survival.
This just goes to show you. I was told some time ago he had deep support from some very unlikely sources. It appears both Sunni leadership was “on the take” as well as some level of support from the Iranian Mullahs. Though they don’t seem to support another Maliki term – they don’t appear ready to throw him overboard just yet either. There is no guarantee they won’t though.
They have even sent Gen Qassem Soleimani into Iraq south of Baghdad to orchestrate a “quelling” of the demonstrations and supposedly to secure Maliki’s safety. However, I am not convinced his ultimate safety is Soleimani’s underlying mission.
This report of Gen. Soleimani being there is limited in it’s scope (how many times/and how it is reported) – so I view this with a healthy dose of skepticism. Also – this frantic move to maintain control over Iraq may well backfire on them. It is becoming clearer and clearer they have some agenda. This is surely not lost on the Iraqi people. Overall, they are typically not happy about external influence – US or Iranian. They don’t like it. One good thing – all of this has forced the Iranians to play their hand in a more public fashion. Now they all know…
Abadi was quoted just recently as saying…
…”the prime minister does not think now in dissent nor undo the reforms, and will not seek to raise Maliki’s name from the list of defendants fall of Mosul.”…
Meaning – he won’t take Maliki’s name out of this report… it will play out.
I don’t see – with the mounting charges, how Maliki survives this barrage. Mosul, Halabja, embezzlement from the CBI, the Speicher massacre, the prison break, it goes on and on and on…
Further – my comments regarding “Maliki as gone” – are clearly “forward looking statements” and ARE IN PROGRESS. Visible progress has been made – for now, Maliki is NOT A VP and is NOT WELCOME in official GOI meetings. Party meetings are one thing. GOI is another thing entirely.
Rather than get caught up in who’s right and who’s wrong and what the details are – what about the WHY?? WHY did Abadi move now?? Was it demonstrators?? No – I doubt it very much. Maliki can think he has everyone right where he wants them – but keep in mind this whole campaign of reform was kicked off by the WB/IMF telling Iraq to get their AML (Anti-Money Laundering) and corruption under control (both issues pointed DIRECTLY AT MALIKI). They were given until Oct 1st to get an AML law put in place. It would probably help Abadi to have an Investment Law in place as well.
Thus far Abadi has responded. Judiciary is next. He needs to keep up the pressure.
Analysts: al-Maliki at war again after being convicted of the report of Mosul
Maliki is in now in FULL DAMAGE control…
The Friday before the Mosul Report was coming out – he went to Iran to gather support.
This move seems to have (temporarily) worked. This caught me a little off-guard. I didn’t think he had that kind of support from Iran once they pulled their support from his bid for a 3rd term.
He did not come back until he had some assurance of some kind – though no guarantee, he must feel he has some potential for survival.
This just goes to show you. I was told some time ago he had deep support from some very unlikely sources. It appears both Sunni leadership was “on the take” as well as some level of support from the Iranian Mullahs. Though they don’t seem to support another Maliki term – they don’t appear ready to throw him overboard just yet either. There is no guarantee they won’t though.
They have even sent Gen Qassem Soleimani into Iraq south of Baghdad to orchestrate a “quelling” of the demonstrations and supposedly to secure Maliki’s safety. However, I am not convinced his ultimate safety is Soleimani’s underlying mission.
This report of Gen. Soleimani being there is limited in it’s scope (how many times/and how it is reported) – so I view this with a healthy dose of skepticism. Also – this frantic move to maintain control over Iraq may well backfire on them. It is becoming clearer and clearer they have some agenda. This is surely not lost on the Iraqi people. Overall, they are typically not happy about external influence – US or Iranian. They don’t like it. One good thing – all of this has forced the Iranians to play their hand in a more public fashion. Now they all know…
Abadi was quoted just recently as saying…
…”the prime minister does not think now in dissent nor undo the reforms, and will not seek to raise Maliki’s name from the list of defendants fall of Mosul.”…
Meaning – he won’t take Maliki’s name out of this report… it will play out.
I don’t see – with the mounting charges, how Maliki survives this barrage. Mosul, Halabja, embezzlement from the CBI, the Speicher massacre, the prison break, it goes on and on and on…
Further – my comments regarding “Maliki as gone” – are clearly “forward looking statements” and ARE IN PROGRESS. Visible progress has been made – for now, Maliki is NOT A VP and is NOT WELCOME in official GOI meetings. Party meetings are one thing. GOI is another thing entirely.
Rather than get caught up in who’s right and who’s wrong and what the details are – what about the WHY?? WHY did Abadi move now?? Was it demonstrators?? No – I doubt it very much. Maliki can think he has everyone right where he wants them – but keep in mind this whole campaign of reform was kicked off by the WB/IMF telling Iraq to get their AML (Anti-Money Laundering) and corruption under control (both issues pointed DIRECTLY AT MALIKI). They were given until Oct 1st to get an AML law put in place. It would probably help Abadi to have an Investment Law in place as well.
Thus far Abadi has responded. Judiciary is next. He needs to keep up the pressure.
Analysts: al-Maliki at war again after being convicted of the report of Mosul
Tomorrow Press / Baghdad: US publishing site today, a report on the status of former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, after the issue became public opinion in Iraq, against the backdrop of his conviction in the fall of the city of Mosul, according to the Commission as a result of the fall of Mosul report. US news website says, that al-Maliki a second war will be fought these days after he was accused in the report of Mosul, in particular that he had not finished the first war on aspirations to return to power again. |
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He says the US site, that al-Maliki has become a hot topic in Baghdad this week, and I talked speculation about the possibility of failure after his return from his visit to Iran, in order to avoid prosecution, according to American analysts Iraqis.
Analysts say the site "MEE", that despite the hype, which revolves around accusations of al-Maliki, it is unlikely that al-Maliki basically tried for his alleged role in the fall of Mosul. In the meantime, al-Maliki returned last week from Iran to Baghdad, where he was when he received a number of members of his parliamentary bloc.
Maliki and subjected to political pressure from the Shiite coalition since August of last year, to step down after the fall of the city of Mosul and other cities, however, the rest of the militants, "Daash" in the past year. Analysts and academics, that the collapse of the dramatic to the Iraqi cities because of the withdrawal of security forces, including, highlighted the al-Maliki as commander in chief of the armed forces at the time, so it was considered Mosul report, al-Maliki accused first with him, according to members of the Committee to investigate the case.
After ten months of investigation, the report that the al-Maliki and other military officials concluded they are interested in the fall of Mosul and other cities, the report is also likely to be tried after the referral of the report to the Attorney General to file a lawsuit against the names in the report.
Came the justification report accusing al-Maliki, the fall of Mosul, after military-appointed incompetent leaders ignored the Iraqi military's ability to fight, despite the training and exchange of billions in the past few years, not to mention not held accountable for failing leaders defeatists fall of the city in the process.
Maliki also in front of a number of questions about what happened after the fall of the city, as it is linked to the Iraqi army collapse of a series of disasters, including, massacre Spyker in which more than 1,700 young Iraqi was killed after being kidnapped by the terrorist organization of the military air base in Tikrit, let alone bear the responsibility of displaced more than three million people displaced by the arrival of organizing Daash to their areas, forcing them to flee the case.
Observers believe, that despite what happened from catastrophes during the mandate of the al-Maliki, the second in Iraq, but he has a kind of dominant power on the state, even after stepping down from power, Mr. Abadi and the post of prime minister, as has often been talk about the continuation of Maliki's control over the levers of government, despite stepping down from his post.
Many military leaders and senior judges and senior government officials Abadi still loyal to the owners and they may either reject or ignore Abadi orders since he took office last August. Abadi has indicated on several occasions to officials who are working to disrupt or delay decisions, although he did not meet the naming them.
In the past week, and against the backdrop of the reforms adopted by the Prime Minister in response to the demands of the demonstrators started, Secretary General of the Council of Ministers Hamid Khalaf, one of al-Maliki Men ruled out, It is also unclear, whether Abadi discharged head of the Supreme Judicial Council, Medhat al-Mahmoud after demanding his dismissal of the protesters Fridays in years.
Officials say they refused to disclose their identities, he said Maliki's opponents are trying to take advantage of his absence to encourage the rumors about his departure from the country, but the former prime minister returned to the country late last week.
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