News, Rumors and Opinions Early Tuesday Afternoon 7-19-16

WSOMN:

Lostnq8:  Today, get your hopes up. Enlarge your vision. Be expecting God to bring opportunities across your path. Expect to meet the right people and get the right breaks. Prepare your heart and mind to receive the increase and blessing God has for your future!

Curly:  Rayren this morning said a friend did an ex change a year ago and said money will be in the bank the next day and didn't happen said that person got a call yesterday and said he would be funded today

RicOShea:  CURLY - THAT IS IN LINE WITH WHAT WE'RE HEARING

Lostnq8: nwm i take it that your time on the call was worth every minute and what admin is telling us may be a little more cautious than what he shares

NWMontana:  Lost...he's a smart dude, and i hope he can recap for folks, i can say there were highly informed peeps representing all the angels of this process and the concensus seemed to be that this is almost done, and to be ready….

If these guys are as involved in this process as the appeared, i have no doubt we will be in the banks this week...it was a thrill to be included,

I am no longer "Cautiously optimistic"...I'm striaght out OPTIMISTICALLY confident...
....

WSOMN Cont…..

Scotchie:  this week?

NWMontana:  Scotchie...All these guys seemed to feel that was a possible timeline...even the more conservative views pointed to sooner, than later.

I APOLOGIZE about the vagueness, but AdminBill asked for discrestion, and to uphold that for him means everything to me….. No more than 20 folks there, 5-6 super smart, some Highly placed, and all, totatlly on the ball...no Nesara, Paul Ryan hooey

RatFink :I can tell you, everyone is looking at this week - we'll see. Intel from last night matched up with what I got on Sat. from Reno and contact back East….I stay grounded as I've road this roller coaster too long to get hyped up. I am optimistic, more than for quite some time.
 
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MyJourney: So whats this I hear we have another G meeting? G20 from Jul 23-26?? How many of these have we past. G20. G7 omg makes me dizzy!

So any intel re the G20? My guess is either the markets will die or they will feed it till the G20 and hopefully the Chinese will push the button?! Thats my intel lol What do I know! Lol

RicOShea:  LETS ALL PRAY FOR OUR COUNTRY AND FOR EACH OTHER FOR A HEART FREE FROM HATE AND MALICE TOWARD OUR FELLOW MAN. OUR BEAUTIFUL COUNTRY NEEDS GOD'S BLESSINGS. WE CAN BE A BETTER PEOPLE THAN WE ARE TODAY.

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TNT:

Kozmo: If the value of the in country is over $3.00 is there small u its to pay for small things??

Daz: I DONT THINK THE PROBABILITY OF A 3 DOLLAR RATE IN COUNTRY IS PROBABLE. AND WE HAVENT YET HEARD THAT FILLS AND LD'S ARE IN CIRCULATION

WE HEARD "DISTRIBUTED"...AND READY FOR CIRCULATION

AND IF ALL THAT HOLDS TRUE THEN WE WOULD HAVE TO ASSUME THE USD IS STILL BEING USED FOR SMALL PURCHASES ALONG WITH QI CARDS

EITHER WAY IT DOESNT AFFECT THE PRICE OF EGGS IN CHINA...OR HERE...YET…. HANG N THERE

Kozmo:  Ok. If the in country price is equivalent to a dollar and something is priced at the equivalent to 25 cents,does Iraq have small denominations to purchase this

Aable2:  Kosmo....I would expect that they have nickles, dimes and quarters over there. When I was in Germany before they went Euro, You could go in a business and pay with Marks or dollars and get change sometimes in a combo of both dollars and Marks.

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WingIt:

GreenElephant:  Seems like a very quiet day!

MDS1965:  YES...QUIET IS GOOD...SOMETIMES...HEY, MAYBE IT'S THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM...JUST HOPE IT'S THE "RIGHT" STORM...IF YA KNOW WHAT I MEAN...

Chief53:  Anybody looking for good things this weekend from the G20 meeting in Shanghai with all central banks represented there????  From July 22-24

Taxmom:  THERE COULD BE SOME SIGNIFICANT NEGOTIATIONS HAPPENING. THEY KNOW THE NARROW CLIFF THEY ARE ON

Bklyn63:  this could be the weekend

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THE WINGIT CALL FOR JULY 19th, 2016 ~ 3:30pm EST ~

Guest pin code: 623546# ~

Primary Call in Line: 425-440-5100 ~

Secondary Call in Line: 682-233-7292 ~

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KTFA:

Doodlebug:  Urgent .. Cabinet disrupts the official working hours on Wednesday and Thursday

Twilight News / Iraqi cabinet decided Tuesday to disable office hours on Wednesday and on Thursday.

According to a statement issued by the Iraqi government, said the council decided to disrupt the official working hours on 20 and July 21, 2016 for high temperatures to 50 degrees Celsius (122 Fahrenheit) and more on the report of the General Authority for meteorological and seismic monitoring.

LINK

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Samson: Deutsche Bank Collapse May Trigger 'Global Financial Catastrophe'

18.07.2016

In June, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) labelled Deutsche Bank as the most risky global financial institution. Experts do not believe the bank will suffer the same destiny as Lehman Brothers. But if it does this would be a global financial catastrophe.

In late-June, the IMF stated that Deutsche Bank is the most important net contributor to systemic risks among the global systemically important banks, The Wall Street Journal reported.
 
Moreover, the United States Federal Reserve reported that the US subsidiary of the bank had failed a stress test due to poor risk management and financial planning. A total of 33 banks were tested, and two of them, Deutsche Bank and Santander, failed.
 
The news pushed Deutsche Bank shares to a 30-year low, to €12.37 per share. Western experts warned that the bank could share the destiny of Lehman Brothers. It was declared bankrupt in 2008, having triggered a global financial crisis.
 
A Domino Effect
 
The German financial sector plays a key role in the global economy. According to the IMF, the German asset management market is the third-largest in Europe. Germany’s sovereign bond market is a safe haven for investors.
 
There are 2 of the 30 global systemically important banks in Germany, Deutsche Bank and Allianz SE, according to a report by the Financial Stability Board.
 
Germany also has one of the world’s largest derivative exchanges, Eurex Exchange, as well as a multitude of smaller bank and financial companies.
 
According to the IMF, in Germany, Deutsche Bank is linked with other publicly traded banks and insurance companies and could be a source of their financial contagion.
 
If the situation in the German financial system deteriorates it is very likely to trigger a chain reaction and a global banking crisis. However, the possible aftermath for the global banking system is expected to be more serious than for German banks, the IMF warned.
 
"In particular, Germany, France, the UK and the US have the highest degree of outward spillovers as measured by the average percentage of capital loss of other banking systems due to banking sector shock in the source country," the report read.
 
Crunch Time for Deutsche Bank
 
In 2009, Deutsche Bank CEO Josef Ackermann said that the bank had enough money to survive the crisis. But in 2012, some of his colleagues said that the bank hid €12 billion of losses from operations with derivatives.
 
The first warnings that Deutsche Bank could declare bankruptcy emerged in 2013 when the bank said it needed additional capital. In 2013, it attracted $3 billion through issuing shares for its stakeholders.
 
In April 2014, the bank attracted an additional €1.5 billion. Several months after, the bank announced it was selling €8 billion worth of shares, with a 30 percent discount. This was a big surprise for the market.
 
In March 2015, a stress test revealed that the bank again needed additional capital. During the crisis the bank manipulated with LIBOR and, in April 2015, it was fined for $2.5 billion. At the time, S&P downgraded Deutsche Bank from A to BBB+, three positions above the junk rating.
 
In early June 2016, Deutsche Bank was again involved in a scandal over LIBOR manipulation. The case involved at least 29 personnel who worked in London, Frankfurt, Tokyo and New York.
 
Last year, Deutsche Bank reported a net loss of €6.8 billion for the first time since 2008.
 
In recent years, the bank has made attempts to reorganize operations. In October 2015, co-CEO John Cryan launched a large-scale restructuring but it has not gained significant results. In the first quarter of 2016, Deutsche Bank reported that net profits had dropped 58 percent, to €236 million.
 
In Lehman Brothers’ Footsteps?
 
When in 2008 Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy it had $639 billion in assets and $619 billion in debt, according to The Street website.
 
In May, Berenberg Bank said that Deutsche Bank had a leverage (the ratio of total assets to shareholder’s equity) of 40 to 1.
 
"The biggest problem is that DBK [Deutsche Bank] has too much leverage. On our measures, we believe DBK is still over 40x levered," analyst James Chappell was quoted as saying by Zero Hedge.
 
"Facing an illiquid credit market limiting Deutsche Bank's ability to deliver and with core profitability impaired, it is hard to see how [the bank] can escape this vicious circle without raising more capital. The CEO has eschewed this route for now, in the hope that self-help can break this loop, but with risk being re-priced again it is hard to see [Deutsche Bank] succeeding," he added.
 
Since the beginning of the year, Deutsche Bank shares have dropped by 50 percent amid investors’ concerns over the possible lack of liquidity.
As for July 15, the bank had a market cap of only €18 billion. Its net value is 60 billion euros, according to BBC.
 
At the same time, the nominal value of derivatives that Deutsche Bank holds on its books is $72.8 trillion.
 
"What is astounding about this, is that a single bank owns 13% of the total outstanding global derivatives, which was a staggering $550 trillion in 2015," according to The Street.
 
However, the article noted, this situation does not mean that the bank will have a default of a trillion dollars because most of the contracts are covered by counterparties.
 
"However, when the domino effect is put into motion, we have already witnessed how it can engulf the entire world," The Street warned.
 
Comparison of Deutsche Bank with Lehman Brothers is not totally correct. However, if such a major player as Deutsche Bank declares bankruptcy it would start a chain reaction, Natalia Orlova, senior economist at Russia’s Alfa Bank, told RBK.
 
Alexander Orlov, managing director of Arbat Capital, agreed that the risk of Deutsche Bank going bankrupt is low. But if this happens the consequences could be much more serious than in 2008.
 
"The aftermath would be disastrous. But the question is whether it is possible. Currently, the risk is much lower than it was with Lehman Brothers. Deutsche Bank meets the capital requirements. The fact that it has failed two tests of the US Fed does not mean the bank has problems. In Europe, the bank has usually passed tests," Orlov pointed out.
 
According to him, there is also a chance that Deutsche Bank will receive additional capital.
 
Brexit Aftermath
 
The decision of the British voters to leave the EU could have a negative impact on the bank.
 
Deutsche Bank is the biggest European bank working in London.
 
According to Bloomberg, in May, CEO John Cryan said the bank was considering moving business from London.
 
"Moving operations, which are handled by 8,000 members of the staff, will not be an easy task for Deutsche Bank and will further weaken its balance sheet," according to The Street.
 
In addition, Brexit could have a negative impact on Deutsche Bank’s large stock of "level 3" assets, including complex derivatives and loans to private equity deals. In late-March, those assets reached €31 billion.
 
"This is sharply lower than the €88 billion Deutsche held in December 2008, and insiders say that the bank has become 'very prudent' in level 3 valuations in the last year," an article in The Financial Times read.
 
Level 3 assets are very hard to value based on market prices and hard to sell. According to Amit Goel, a bank analyst at Exane, after Brexit these assets are going to be harder to sell.

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