Don't WAIT!

Saturday, October 24, 2015

Saturday Mnt Goat Update Post - "End of Week Update – RV Windows?"  Part 2 of 2

So in remembering these main items below you tell me if an RV is imminent:

Maliki and his goons and the Iranian influence must be out of politics completely and safely neutralized or no RV.

I don’t care what anyone else tells you this is the USA and UN’s process not mine. This stance has not changed a bit. The Parties Law becomes fully implemented at the end of Oct. The 90 grace period is over. Can they be waiting for this to occur since it eliminates any possibility of Maliki and many other alleged corrupted officials from being involved in the government again. 

Have you especially noticed this week’s recent smear campaigne against Malkik? They seemed to have turned it up a couple notches. Are they getting ready to pluck him out soon?
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PARLIAMENT PAVES THE WAY FOR THE TRIAL OF AL-MALIKI AFTER REFUSING THE RESIGNATION OF A DEPUTY COALITION OF STATE LAW      

Parliament foiled the efforts of former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki to get through the parliamentary immunity of deputies rejected the resignation of a coalition of state law to replace al-Maliki replaced in parliament.

She said parliamentary sources told the Saudi Okaz, that al-Maliki tried through the move to return to parliament in preparation for immunity to avoid prosecution for mistakes made in the covenant while he was prime minister for eight years.

Noting that the recent failure of the parliament to return to its membership would open the door to his trial in the wake of the parliamentary committee investigating the cause of the fall, which found him guilty of Mosul report


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Of course this week we have seen negative feedback on Abadi to try to gently convince the people of Iraq that Abadi is no good and he is solely the fault for the lack of salary and pension payment delay and all the other financial issues. Here is the article and it is interesting reading. They have worded it to sound very legitimate. I would simply toss it all in the garbage after reading it since it is just the other side again trying to pull support from the Abadi government.

If you are one that has just begun taking the time to try to read the articles on you own, this is a typical example of an article that is pure garbage and has no merit. After all you should be trying to weed these out. After all you did ask me once how can you tell a good apple from a bad one. This is a bad one.

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PARLIAMENT NEXT WEEK PULLS MANDATE GIVEN TO ABADI      

10/22/2015
House of Representatives is heading next week to pull the mandate given to the Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi on the back of popular protests that started in August.

He revealed a parliamentary source, on Thursday, for the "provision of Deputies Finance Committee report to the President of the Council, Salim al about the implications of individual decisions taken by Abadi, under the pretext of the mandate given to him by the street and the House of Representatives," noting that "talks between the parliamentary blocs took place this week in this regard, It seems to have gained a high degree of support, under the existing political differences between the blocks. "

The source said: "The MP Majda al-Tamimi vowed to collect signatures to question the prime minister Haider al-Abadi, on the back of his insistence on passing the new salary scale," stressing that "the next week's session of the parliament will be a storm, especially as it has allocated to discuss the new salary scale."

He added that "the President of the House of Representatives is facing a lawsuit by Abadi for not complying with the decision of the parliament staff, which was taken illegally and without returning to the Speaker of Parliament to reduce the salaries," describing what is stated in some satellite channels from denial to the lawsuit as "reflects the poor performance of staff Abadi, who are mostly ignorant of what is decided by the Prime Minister every day. "

"The case is at an advanced stage, and began the legal department at the Council examined".
The salary scale is witnessing significant differences between the legislative and executive branches, see The former decision handed new salary "injustice" against a wide layer of staff, while the other sees as a starter justice and equality among all state employees.


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ISIS must be cleared enough to regain the oil fields and major cities before any RV. The new Iraqi counter terrorism groups (or National Guard) must get stronger, more trained and then be able to be deployed and useful.

Iraq must have their National Unification (or Reconciliation) Conference before any RV. They have already told us when they are planning to have it. I have told you in previous news letters why this conference is needed and what it will do for Iraq. It has not changed a bit. It is not even scheduled until late December early Jan.

Banking and Investment strategies must be deployed or NO RV. Includes the Investment law and the new banking practices. We are hearing maybe the Investment law next week?

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We can see Iraq working on the anti-money laundering already as they are now completing the audits of the second tier banks throughout the provinces.

So the BIG news this week in two fold. All eyes are watching for the Investment law to be passed in parliament this coming week.  Next we see the oil agreement. Again I will tell you calm down this is not HCl.

HCl is done. This is more about article 140, which guarantees that the disputed territories (oil rich territories) belong to Kudistan and not the Baghahd government and how the oil will be pumped and how the revenues can be shared if they go above the quotas for the budget. 

Also, if you read my past news letters, I told you that this recent agreement was mostly about the process and formality as to how Kurdistan can sell above and beyond the quota to meet the current budget (and the Kurds 17% share).

Here is the issue: If the Kurds sell out beyond the quota in the budget do they just get the HCL 17% share of the oil revenues from this oil or can they keep the entire proceeds? Since they are part of Iraq,  parliament feels they should only get their 17%. Kurdistan feels they should keep all the profits.

They have done this in the past and parliament always makes a big deal about it and it starts the fighting all over again. So the Kurds wanted to settle this issue once and for all. This is the agreement they are now trying to get done.  Again this is not HCl but is closely aligned to it. They can RV without this agreement in place so don’t worry.   

OIL AGREEMENT BETWEEN BAGHDAD AND ERBIL WILL BE PRESENTED TO PARLIAMENT      

21-10-2015 

The government has hinted it seeks the transfer of the oil deal with the Kurdistan region, which is hereby given region, its share of the budget for fiscal 2016 by 17% file, to the House of Representatives.

A spokesman for the Office of the Prime Minister Saad al-Hadithi: "The region's share subject to the nature of the oil exports, in budget 2015 Select under the oil agreement that the province exported quantity of 550 000 barrels compared to the federal government's commitment to giving him an amount of 17% after deducting expenses sovereign.

"However, to say," but the reality of the situation the region did not abide by the roof of export and this is what made is unable to fulfill the budget of the provincial government did not send a full share but it was sent commensurate with the volume of oil exports in each month of the Kurdistan region. "

He stressed newborn "the need to find a consistent plan of action in the implementation of this agreement and this will be a matter present in the parliament a draft 2016 budget law discusses the need to be to reach an agreement in sessions Final through the House of Representatives because this is linked to the stability of Iraq and reconciliation between the political forces and unify efforts to fight terrorism.

"He stressed that" this will not be until it is determined the mechanism to deal with this issue and abide by it or not and if they do not get it, you will raise the quota for the province or not .. this is under discussion and can not take action right now.

"The Council of Ministers approved in its extraordinary past Sunday, the draft federal budget for fiscal year 2016 Act, in the amount of 106 trillion dinars, and a deficit estimated at 22.7 trillion dinars, or by 21 % of the total budget in which the oil export estimates built Bmadelha daily 3.6 million barrels, the price of the daily average of $ 45 a barrel.

Detection and Culture and Tourism Minister Faryad Roandzi allocate 12 trillion and 600 billion dinars as a share of the region of Kurdistan in the budget, "adding" Installing the region's share amounting to 17 percent in the new budget, as opposed to be issued per day 550 000 barrels of oil region and Kirkuk through SOMO by the oil agreement ", calling at the same time, the delegation of the provincial government to Akaddjum quickly to Baghdad in order to sign a new agreement."

As said a member of the parliamentary Economic Committee, Sabhan Suleiman, yesterday that the budget bill arrived at the Presidency of the Council of Representatives by the government to put on the agenda and approval. "


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Update: Fight Against ISIS

Now we see the USA stepping up air strikes to prove to Iraq that influence from Russia is in fact not needed in Iraq. USA is apposed to any country joining the coalition forces in fight against ISIS that support or encourage terrorism. It is a very good stance and will prove itself a good policy on the part of the USA.

How long can Russia sustain their Syrian effort anyhow? They are on the verge of a financial collapse. Do you hear much about the USA protesting what they are doing in Syria? Only mostly about the rebel bombings but we know the Russian endeavor in Syria is short lived and the USA is going to let it run its course without making too much waves. Wait and see. Unless someone coughs up some money for these Russian air strikes they are going to end soon. The USA navy will fill this gap.

I also wonder that if in the long run this Russian aid is not going to give the USA more incentive to beef up and support the effort against ISIS even more. Incidentally did you read the article that the USA may be soon delivering military supplies directly to Kurdistan. This will help immensely in the fight against these occupied Iraqi regions for the Pershmerga.

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AMERICA'S ALLIANCE IS WAGING AGAINST DAASH 14 RAID IN IRAQ      

 2015/10/21 

It is  said Joint Task Force said in a statement on Wednesday that the coalition led by the United States carried out 14 air strike against al Daash in Iraq and focus bombing near the towns of Kisak and Sinjar.

The statement said that "six attacks near Kisak hit the facility for the preparation of car bombs, and also destroyed five locations for processing belonging to the organization, noting that" near Sinjar hit four strokes and tactical units also destroyed 14 locations combat and guns machine guns. "He added that" the alliance carried out on the same day four air strikes in Syria are all near Manbej, destroyed facilities for organizing strikes and locations and combat vehicle and the point of supply and also damaged four tactical units ".


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ABADI FACING OPPONENTS PLEDGE TO PRESSURE WASHINGTON NOT TO REQUEST RUSSIAN STRIKES      

Baghdad -arac Press October -21: A senior US general said the United States received assurances from Iraq, Tuesday, that he will not ask Russian air strikes against al Daash, pointing out that he warned Baghdad that any Russian role will hinder the air campaign that led America, under pressure on Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi.
In contrast, members of the ruling National Coalition and armed Shiite factions enjoys considerable influence Reuters they urged the Prime Minister of Iraq Haider Abadi the request of the Russian launch air strikes against the Islamic state organization that controlled large areas of the country, he said.

And feel Abadi and his government and the armed factions were part of the popular crowd backed by Iran upset the pace and scope of the campaign waged by the United States against "Daash" and hint to their determination to resort to Moscow, which has alarmed Washington.

He said members of the Iraqi parliament that the prime minister is under "tremendous pressure" from the ruling National Coalition to ask for Russian intervention.
He pledged US General Joseph Dnford, who took over this month, the largest military official in the office of the US Army, searching for new ways to build momentum in the battle against al-Iraq Daash opposed the conflict that description at a standstill.

And it raised new Russian military intervention in Syria's neighbor Iraq questions about whether the Russian campaign may extend to Iraq.
And Syria has become the scene of a competing air strikes carried out by the Cold War adversary. The United States bombed targets for Daash in Syria and Iraq over a year ago.

The Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, who is under pressure to make progress in its war against Daash had said, in the first of October of this, that he would welcome a Russian air strikes in his country.

Gen. Donford said on his first visit to Iraq since he took office, on the first of October, said that al-Abadi and Defense Minister Khaled al-Obeidi told him that they did not seek to seek the help of Russia.

He explained Donford small journalists traveling with him after the talks set to "I said it would make it very difficult for us to be able to offer this kind of support they need him if the Russians came here and also carried out the operations."

"The defense minister and the prime minister said: 'absolutely'. Now there is no demand from the Russians to support them and there is no reflection on Russians to support them and did not ask the Russians to come and carry out operations. "

Dnford also played center for the exchange of intelligence in Baghdad between Russia and Iran, Syria and Iraq, which raised questions about Moscow's intentions in Iraq.

A senior official in the Iraqi parliament said last week that Baghdad had already begun bombing the Islamic state fighters with the help of a new intelligence center in Baghdad.

But Donford said that al-Obeidi told him during the closed-door talks in Baghdad intelligence center that has not worked so far.

He Donford "They said they do not do something now."

Following a request from the Kurdistan region Dnford said his team is working to speed up the supply of ammunition for the Kurdish Peshmerga forces.

Dnford and talked about the possibility of strengthening the training of Iraqi agencies to combat terrorism, US officials said they led progress in Baiji, with the support of air strikes by US-led.

He also pointed to the need for new vehicles and equipment for them to deal with the bombs 


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Till next time…. Auf Wiedersehen!

Peace and Luv To Ya All, 
Mnt Goat


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