Don't WAIT!

Wednesday, February 24, 2016

Backdoc, Thunderhawk and Mountainman  Wed.AM  2-24-16   Part 1

KTFA:

BACKDOC: WHEN THE THUNDER GETS LOUDER AND LOUDER YOU KNOW THE LIGHTNING IS ABOUT TO STRIKE, AND WHEN IT DOES IT REMOVES THE DARKNESS DOESN'T IT? MMMMM

HEY THUNDER! DO YOU HAVE A BRIGHT LIGHT TONIGHT?

FOR A FEW WEEKS NOW WE HAVE BEEN WATCHING ACTIONS BECAUSE ACTIONS MEAN THINGS!

WHO IS TALKING TODAY THUNDER?

CAN YOU SHED SOME LIGHT IN THIS DARK MONETARY REFORM ROOM?   DOC

Thunderhawk:  GOOD EVENING FRANK - FAMILY - FRIENDS
WASS UP DOC!!!!
I GOT A HUMONGOUS ARTICLE!!!!!
POSTING IT NOW!!!!!  READY?????  SET !!!!!!  GO !!!!!!!
....
BACKDOC:  INDEED GENTLEMEN!

INDIA'S CHANGE IN FOREIGN CURRENCY IMPLIES NOT THAT IT MIGHT HAPPEN BUT DID HAPPEN!

THE QUESTION IS: WHEN WILL OZ PULL BACK THE CURTAIN FOR ALL TO SEE?

GOD CERTAINLY KNOWS, BUT LITTLE OLE ME UNDERDOG, WILL JUST BITE THE COIN AND REMAIN HUMBLE AND LOVABLE TO SWEET POLY PUREBREAD TONIGHT! HEE HEE

I LIKE THE FACT THAT MARCH FIRST IS A TUESDAY!   DOC   IMO

Thunderhawk:   HUMONGOUS ALERT

Currency revaluation swells India’s Forex reserves: Experts

Despite a massive decline in India’s reserve position with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the country’s foreign exchange (Forex) reserves kitty grew by $347 million during the week ended February 12, experts said on Saturday.
 
According to the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI’s) weekly statistical supplement, the overall Forex reserves gained by $347.2 million to touch $351.83 billion for the week under review.
 
The foreign reserves had risen by $2.33 billion to $351.48 billion for the week ended February 5.
 
Analysts attributed the rise in Forex reserves to the currency revaluation effect and appreciation in the US dollar value.
 
“The country’s foreign exchange reserves rose by $347.2 million to $351.831 billion in the week to February 12, thanks to revaluation impact from the non dollar part of reserves,” Anindya Banerjee, associate vice president for currency derivatives with Kotak Securities, told IANS.
 
“RBI may have been selling US dollars that week through the forward and futures market, which is not going to be counted as a part of the official reserves statistics.”
 
The currency revaluation strengthened the foreign currency assets (FCAs) which is the largest component of India’s Forex reserves. It grew by $1.58 billion to $330.01 billion during the week under review.
 
Apart from the US dollar, the FCAs consist of nearly 20-30 percent of other non-US dollar major global currencies, securities and bonds.
 
The individual movements of these currencies against the US dollar impacts the overall foreign reserves value.
 
“US dollar had rallied by around one percent against major global currencies and that may have also contributed to the increase in reserves,” a currency analyst from New Delhi told IANS.
 
Notwithstanding, the country’s gold reserves remained stagnant. The bullion had risen by $456.6 million to $17.69 billion for the week ended February 5.
 
The special drawing rights (SDRs) were higher by $21.5 million to $4.06 billion.
 
However, the country’s reserve position with the IMF plunged by $1.25 billion to $54.2 million.
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Mountainman:  Sounds like A RISE Of "THUNDER" in The EAST and MOVING It's WAY to The WEST......IMO

BACKDOC:  WHEN DID IRAN SAY THEY WOULD BEGIN TO ENTER THE WORLD WITH IRAQ?

RIGHT! AROUND THE 8TH!

THEN THEY SAID IT WOULD BE SLOWLY, SLOWLY, BUT LESS THAN A MONTH!

WELL, HERE WE SEE SOMETHING HAPPENED TO INDIA'S FOREIGN RESERVES ON THE SAME WEEK! HEE HEE THE WEEK ENDING THE 12TH! HEE HEE

AMAZING! PROOF THAT SOMETHING HAPPENED TO  CAUSE SOME OR ONE OF THEIR FOREIGN RESERVE CURRENCIES TO REVALUE HIGHER! WOW!

LIKE A ANOTHER CHRISTIAN BROTHER P.... SAID THE OTHER DAY, IF THIS NEWS DOESN'T GET YOU SO EXCITED AND ON FIRE, THEN YOUR WOOD IS WET! HEE HEE GREAT STATEMENT!

A COUPLE OTHER THINGS TO NOTE THAT CONFIRMS WHAT I'VE BEEN TELLING YOU IS THEY MENTIONED THEIR GOLD RESERVES REMAINED STAGNANT!

WE HAVE ALSO SEEN ARTICLES CONFIRMING THAT INDIA IS BUYING MUCH LESS GOLD LATELY! WHY?

WELL, JUST LIKE CANADA, IF YOU KNEW THAT THE DOLLAR WAS HEADED LOWER IN THE FUTURE AND GOLD WAS GOING LOWER YOU WOULD BE A SELLER OF GOLD NOT A BUYER!

WHAT DID I SAY WOULD GO UP? RIGHT!

EMERGING COUNTRY CURRENCIES OR NEW ASSET BACKED BONDS! WHAT DOES INDIA HAVE HERE? EXACTLY! NOW YOU GET MY DRIFT!

METALS WILL HAVE TO BE RE-PRICED LOWER DUE TO THE EMERGING ASSET BACKED CURRENCIES REVALUING! THE STOCK MARKET WILL ALSO FIND ITS NEW REALITY SOON!

HEY GUYS, THINK BACK WITH ME FOR A SECOND. REMEMBER WHEN VIETNAM DID A CLEVER MOVE? MMMMM

WEEKS AFTER READING THAT I FIGURED OUT THAT THEY PUT 80% OF THEIR DEBT INTO DOLLARS! MMMMM

IF THE FIAT DOLLAR GETS REPRICED LOWER COMPARED TO THE NEW ASSET BACKED REALITY THEIR 80% DEBT WILL GET CRUSHED WHILE THEIR NEW ASSET BACKED DONG WILL BE AN ASIAN STUDD! HEE HEE

CAN YOU IMAGINE 20 TRILLION DOLLARS OF US DEBT CRASHING 30 TO 50%? MMMM

WOW WOULDN'T THAT BE MUCH EASIER TO PAY BACK WOULDN'T IT?

8@8, DOC    IMO

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Thunderhawk:   MMMM I WONDER WHERE THE TRANSFER OF WEALTH IS GOING!!!!!
HAWK

Backdoc Alert

1 in 4 Americans on verge of financial ruin

The rich keep getting richer. The rest of us aren’t so lucky.

According to a survey released Tuesday by Bankrate.com of more than 1,000 adults, nearly one in four Americans have credit card debt that exceeds their emergency fund or savings. And that’s partially because many people, in addition to their debt, don’t have a dime in their emergency fund at all: another Bankrate survey released earlier this year found that 29% of Americans have no emergency savings at all.

These numbers mean that many Americans are “teetering on the edge of financial disaster,” says Greg McBride, Bankrate.com’s chief financial analyst — thanks to the fact that they might be hard-pressed to pay for an emergency should one arise. “Not only do most of them not have enough savings, they’ve all used up some portion of their available credit — they are running out of options.”

That’s particularly problematic considering that emergencies happen more often than you might think. A 2014 survey by American Express found that half of all Americans had experienced an unforeseen expense in the past year — some of which could be considered an emergency. Indeed, 44% of those who had an unforeseen expense(s) had one for health care and 46% for car trouble — two items that for many Americans are must-pay items, as you need a car to get to work and your health expenses are usually not optional.

Some groups — for example, the 30 to 49 age group — are in worse off than others when it comes to credit card debt and savings. This group is in particularly rough shape, likely it faces child-related and mortgage expenses.

Age % who say credit card debt is greater than emergency savings
18-29 20%
30-49 26%
50-64 25%
65+ 14%

For consumers, the ideal situation is to have no credit card debt and at least six months of savings in an emergency fund (more if you have dependents), experts say. But the reality is that most of us don’t have even close to that (just 52% of Americans have more emergency savings than credit card debt, the Bankrate survey revealed).

The good news: If you have no emergency savings, or more debt than savings, experts say you can remedy that situation. Some recommend paying off your credit card debt first (focus on paying as much as you can on the highest-interest-rate debt and the minimums on all others) and then building up savings, but others say you should try to do both at once. “When you have high interest credit card debt, I recommend saving just enough to cover short-term emergencies (your washer or dryer breaks, your car needs new brakes) — that might be one or two thousand dollars,” says Doug Bellfy, a financial advisor at Synergy Financial Planning in Glastonbury, Conn. “Then attack the credit cards and only then go back and complete building your emergency fund.”

Wan McCormick, a financial planner with Reliable Alliance Financial in Fairfax, Va., agrees with the split strategy: “Based purely on the numbers, one might recommend to focus on the high-interest rate credit debt since it costs more money out of pocket…however, oftentimes, unexpected events happen, and without an emergency fund, consumers with high-interest rate debts usually resort back to loans and most frequently, the credit card, since it is the easiest form of accessing money,” he says. To do both at once, McBride recommends setting up a direct deposit with part going into savings and part toward your credit card.

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Mountainman:  Yes Even The BIG BANKS are Nervous NOW w/Over EXPOSURE to the MONEY WEATHER MACHINE.......And Their Clients are Not SATISFIED w/ their Too Big to FAIL MINDSET.......A "FALL" is A coming QUICKLY and these BANKS "KNOW IT......As DOC has said "WATCH" Out WHEN/WHAT You Exchange Your CURRENCY(GOLD) Into.....It May RESULT as A MAJOR LOSS if it's NOT ASSET BACKED on the USA Side.....IMO

Backdoc Alert

J.P. Morgan’s exposure to oil, gas debt has Wall Street jittery

J.P. Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon is focused on building a so-called fortress balance sheet at his behemoth bank. To that end, he said the bank JPM, -4.18% has added around $500 million to its reserves against loans losses in the oil-and-gas sector in the first quarter of 2016.

The move comes as crude-oil prices have fallen about 12% so far this year and have plunged 34% over the past 12 months, putting the finances of energy companies under pressure.

The additional reserves bring the amount that J.P. Morgan has set aside to cover losses in the battered energy space to $1.3 billion, after reporting more than $800 million in oil-and-gas loan-loss reserves at the end of 2015. The bank also said that nearly 40% of its loan exposure in the sector is to energy and production companies:

Offering details about its balance sheet at an event for investors in New York on Tuesday, the sprawling bank said if crude prices tumble to around $25 a barrel and remain there for 1½ years, it may add an additional $1.5 billion to its reserve balance. The U.S. benchmark for oil, West Texas Intermediate CLJ6, -2.32% currently trades around $32.

The bank said it continues “to monitor closely” the oil-and-gas sector and sees “no significant contagion.”

Further breaking down its loan exposures to the oil-and-gas sector, J.P. Morgan said it has about $19 billion in high-yield loans, considered the riskiest grade of corporate debt, as the following graphic shows:

J.P. Morgan’s disclosures come as investors fret about the impact of a protracted collapse in commodities like oil on the lenders who finance them. The Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF XLF, -1.78% a measure of the stock-market performance of U.S. financial firms, is down 14% over the past three months, although it has recently recovered somewhat, according to FactSet. J.P. Morgan shares are down by about as much.

J.P. Morgan also added a $100 million capital buffer in 2016 to protect against exposures to the metals-and-mining sector GDX, +2.10% which has been hit hard by worries over a world-wide economic slowdown. Base metals like copper HGH6, -1.71% are down more than 20% over the past 12 months, and iron ore has lost nearly a quarter of its value over the same period.

Still, J.P. Morgan made the case on Tuesday that because it maintains a diversified business, its balance sheet has remained strong and revenue has been growing:

J.P. Morgan shareholders appeared unimpressed with its disclosures, driving the bank’s shares down nearly 4%, making it the worst performer among the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -1.14% components in a down day on Wall Street.

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BACKDOC:  THIS PRODUCTION OR SUPPLY PROBLEM IS NOT GOING TO BE SOLVED QUICKLY!

ANOTHER DYNAMIC IN PLAY AS I HEARD TODAY IS THAT, THE US WILL LIKELY BECOME A BIGGER PLAYER THAN RUSSIA IN THE NATURAL GAS ARENA!

NO WONDER CARL ICAN BOUGHT A MAJOR STAKE IN A LIQUIFIED NATURAL GAS SUPPLIER!
DOC    IMO

Backdoc Alert

Crude drops as Saudi oil minister shatters hope for producer cuts

Crude futures settled with a sharp loss on Tuesday after Saudi Arabia’s oil minister, Ali al-Naimi, shattered any hopes that producers would cut back on output to help alleviate the world’s excess supplies.

April West Texas Intermediate crude CLJ6, -2.35% fell $1.52, or 4.6%, to settle at $31.87 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. April Brent crude LCOJ6, -1.59% on London’s ICE Futures exchange fell $1.42, or 4.1%, to $33.27 a barrel.

At the IHS CERAWeek conference in Houston Tuesday, al-Naimi said there is “no sense wasting our time seeking production cuts.”

He also said he has no concerns about demand, so he welcomes additional supplies, including shale oil.

“There was nothing new from the Saudi oil minister, whose rhetoric fell in line with everything we have heard from him for well over a year: that Saudi will not be cutting production,” said Matt Smith, director of commodity research at ClipperData.

Saudi Arabia has the biggest pull in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries as the group’s largest crude-oil producer and exporter.

“Given recent developments with Russia and other OPEC members, some appear to have placed hope in [the Saudis]; once again their hopes have been dashed,” said Smith.

Al-Naimi said a freeze in output would allow oil supplies to fall, but it would take time.

Tyler Richey, co-editor of The 7:00’s Report said the “wild card” when it comes to plans for a production freeze “remains Iranian production as officials there have explicitly said that they plan to continue raising output until their exports are back towards pre-sanction levels.”

That could mean as much as another 1 million barrels a day in capacity, Richey said.

During his speech, al-Naimi said that while oil is in a “painful downturn,” the market will return to balance and demand will pick up.

OPEC Secretary-General Abdalla Salem el-Badri said on Monday that a proposed coordinated production freeze, if agreed upon by all OPEC members, would mark the a first step to support prices. However, a price increase would embolden U.S. producers to ramp up output, he added.

Oil prices Monday had gained on expectations for a fall in crude production following nine-straight weeks of declines in the number of active oil-drilling rigs. But “the pace of production declines in the U.S. right now is simply not enough to absorb the global production surplus that will likely only get worse with Iran set on continuing to increase output,” said Richey.

Back on Nymex, March gasoline RBH6, -0.96% fell 3.4 cents, or 3.4%, to 96.63 cents a gallon and March heating oil HOH6, -1.13% lost 3.3 cents, or 3.1%, to $1.022 a gallon. March natural gas NGH16, -0.06% ended at $1.782 per million British thermal units, down 3.9 cents, or 2.1%.

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Thunderhawk:  WELL FAMILY I GUESS WE KNOW WHY IRAQ HAS NOT SIGNED THERE AMNESTY LAW YET !!!!

AS DOC WOULD SAY " IT'S JUST NOT THEIR TURN" BOO HOO

BACKDOC:  So The "GREAT EXCHANGE" Must Continue as BLACK GOLD is used as a Means to Get to a DESIGNED END!!!.......For GLOBAL MARKETS.......That Is........IMO

IMF’s Lagarde Says Oil May Stay Low for Longer Than Expected

Crude prices will probably stay low for longer than expected, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde said, urging Gulf Arab oil-producing countries to cut spending and boost revenue through new taxes.

A value-added tax that’s the same across the six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council should be adopted, Lagarde said in a speech in Abu Dhabi. The measure along with corporate income and property taxes would help raise government income, she said.

“Not only have oil prices fallen by around two-thirds from their most recent peak, but supply- and demand-side factors suggest that they are likely to stay low for an extended period,” Lagarde said. That makes it necessary for oil producers to lower reliance on crude for government income, she said.
Global oil prices have dropped 44 percent in the past year, forcing Saudi Arabia to cut spending on energy subsidies and consider selling sovereign bonds and shares in national oil company Saudi Arabian Oil Co., known as Saudi Aramco. The United Arab Emirates has also eliminated fuel subsidies.

U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude should trade in a range between $25 and $45 a barrel for the rest of the year, “although a very brief spike down towards $20 is possible,” the National Bank of Abu Dhabi PJSC said in its Global Investment Outlook 2016 report on Sunday. Prices at the lower end of the range will stimulate demand growth, it said.

WTI rose 1.9 percent on Monday to $30.20 a barrel by 11:20 a.m. in Dubai and Brent, benchmark for more than half of the world’s crude, climbed 1.5 percent to $33.49 a barrel.

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Link to Part 2


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